• TAO reclaimed $300 as halving momentum tightened supply and improved sentiment.
• The first-ever halving cuts issuance from 7,200 to 3,600 TAO per day, mirroring Bitcoin’s scarcity mechanics.
• A breakout above $330 could reclaim $400–$420 and open the path toward the $520+ expansion zone.

Bittensor clawed its way back over the $300 mark, holding steady as momentum around its upcoming halving finally flipped market sentiment. It’s one of those moments where the noise fades and the fundamentals start taking center stage again — and TAO, honestly, sits in its own category when it comes to real network growth and long-term economics. The halving has a lot to do with that shift.

TAO’s First Halving: A Built-In Scarcity Shock

The network’s first-ever halving is projected to hit around December 15th, though the exact timing depends on block production — it’s automatic, hard-coded, and triggers once 10.5 million TAO have been mined. No community vote, no surprise changes, just pure protocol-level scarcity.

Block rewards will drop from 1 TAO to 0.5 TAO, cutting daily issuance from roughly 7,200 TAO down to 3,600. With the total supply capped forever at 21 million, Bittensor mirrors Bitcoin’s hard-coded scarcity engine but adds its own AI-powered twist. It’s the kind of tokenomics shift that tightens supply dramatically right as network demand continues expanding, and that mix usually reshapes price structure faster than people expect.

Can TAO Break $330 and Push for $520?

On the 4-hour chart, TAO is pressing into the $317–$330 resistance pocket. RSI sits around 62 — strong but not overheated — and support near $276 has held firm after multiple bullish retests. MACD has been curling upward too, hinting that momentum is quietly stacking underneath the surface.

A clean breakout over $330 sets up short-term targets around $360. If TAO manages to reclaim the $400–$420 zone, the chart opens up a familiar runway toward the $520+ expansion areas it has historically tapped after long consolidation stretches. It’s the same pattern we’ve seen before: compression, halving pressure, breakout… the usual TAO cycle.

Daily Chart Shows a Slow but Real Trend Shift

Zoomed out on the daily timeframe, RSI sits near 47, giving bulls plenty of room before things even get close to overheated territory. MACD flipped bullish, showing upside momentum slowly but steadily taking shape. TAO continues coiling inside a structure that has produced multiple explosive bursts in the past — and now it’s doing it with a major tokenomics catalyst just days away.

When supply gets cut in half, markets don’t always react instantly, but they rarely ignore it for long. And TAO looks like it’s lining up for another one of those sudden, sharp expansions once the volatility kicks in.